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Player Breakdowns: April 1st

Player Breakdowns: April 1st

I'll go over video of Jordan Beck, Carson Whisenhunt,& Franco Aleman and offer my take + 15 notable performers

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Prospect Tilt
Apr 01, 2024
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Player Breakdowns: April 1st
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Jordan Beck (COL):

I spent this offseason lauding Beck for his power and speed potential yet chastising him for his approach and the K rates he ran at AA in 2023.

Beck is off to a scorching start to 2024, starting 5-for-12 with 2 homers and a triple. He’s also walked twice and struck out 5 times. Almost a three-outcome guy through 3 games. I know, I know — it’s still early. I’ll say this — I was impressed with Beck’s triple as he was down in the count, worked his way back up to a 3-2 count, and then blasted a triple to deep center which looked to be at least 400 feet in the air. I just double-checked. It was 396 feet in the air according to Statcast, so my eyes are 4 feet off. He went 3-for-5 yesterday and here are his batted balls:

Single — 103.9 mph EV

Triple — 104.4 mph EV

Homer — 102.9 mph EV — 439 ft

He’s putting up some gaudy numbers, though I’ll be keeping an eye on his approach and K rates throughout the season. With that said, the power is undeniable and can play right now. I have both the triple and home run on video and I’ll post it below:

Here’s what I wrote about Beck in the offseason:

Jordan Beck went 25-20 last year between A+ (76 games) and AA (50 games) with most of his production coming in at the High-A level. He maintained his BB rate between levels but increased his K rate by 9 points from nearly 21% to around 30%.

In other words, he was an absolute beast at A+ and fell off mightily once he reached AA — again not an abnormality as it seems to be a recurring theme here. Let’s look at it a bit deeper.

At A+, Beck ran a Z-contact rate of 79.8% and a chase rate of 28.7%

At AA, Beck ran a Z-contact rate of just 61.5% and a chase rate of 31.4%.

He has zone recognition as he maintained his ability to not chase pitches out of the zone, at least on par with his A+ numbers. The number that jumps out is his zone contact and the fact that it got significantly worse once he was at AA. He hit 20 homers in 76 games at A+ and just 5 homers in 50 games at AA — in large part because he simply wasn’t making good contact, or contact at all on pitches he should’ve been barreling in the zone. It was his first taste of AA so it’s not a red flag that you have to wave around like it’s the end of the world. He’ll likely start at AA to start 2024 and if he can get that zone contact rate back up to nearly the same levels as he had in A+, we’re looking at a potential 25-30+ HR threat who can chip in steals. It only helps his cause that he’ll be playing his games at Coors Field. The ceiling is fairly high with Beck but it doesn’t come without its risk. That’s a common theme and can be said about most players, both above him and below him on this list.

I also wrote that Beck has the potential to be an absolute thoroughbred at Coors. He had an excellent Spring on the surface (the K rates were still high) and he displayed just about what you want to see from a future premier slugger. Also, don’t discount his speed — it plays up despite his size and he’s had an extreme compete level since he was at Tennessee — to the point where it would aggravate opponents. He’s that guy you want on your team but would hate to face.

Carson Whisenhunt (SFG):

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